Evo Morales returns to Bolivia to cheers — and worries
By Maria Silvia Trigo and Anatoly Kurmanaev
Bolivia’s maverick former president, Evo Morales, made a triumphant return to his homeland Monday, a year after his failed attempt to keep power tore the nation apart and sent him into exile.
Morales, the country’s longest-serving leader, was greeted by brass bands and hundreds of cheering supporters as he walked across the border from Argentina on the dusty and frigid Andean plateau, accompanied by the neighboring country’s president, Alberto Fernández, and a retinue of close allies.
But beyond the jubilant reception, Morales finds a wary nation anxious to move beyond the political turmoil unleashed by his divisive bid for a fourth presidential term and focused on overcoming a crippling pandemic and economic crisis.
None of the national leaders of Morales’ socialist political party, which returned to power this month following a calm presidential election, came to greet their mentor at the border. Neither Bolivia’s new president, Luis Arce, nor the vice president, David Choquehuanca, both former ministers in Morales’ governments, mentioned him in their acceptance speeches Sunday.
Arce had made clear during the campaign that Morales would play no part in his government, if he won — and he went on to handily beat a field of right-leaning candidates who had historically opposed Morales.
On his return to Bolivia, Morales echoed the promise, telling supporters that he would dedicate himself to labor activism, where he began his political career.
“I will share my experience in the union struggles, because the fight continues,” he said at the border crossing Monday. “As long as capitalism exists, the people’s fight will continue, I’m convinced of this.”
After the turbulent months that followed Morales’ departure, when partisan clashes blocked the streets and mistrust in government grew, Bolivia held a rerun of last year’s presidential elections.
The race, which many were afraid would devolve into violence or uncertainty, had a high turnout and a relatively peaceful conclusion, which many Bolivians attributed to a broad desire for stability.
But the return of a leader who had tried a number of tactics to remain in power, including changing the constitution and stacking the electoral board with supporters, provoked alarm among many, particularly the government’s opponents. The nation remains deeply divided, and the fragile balance reached during the elections could unravel, some fear.
In the prosperous eastern region of Santa Cruz, protesters went on strike last week and pledged not to recognize the new pro-Morales government, saying there had been fraud, but without providing evidence.
“We are worried about his arrival and we reject it,” said Marcelo Pedrazas, an opposition lawmaker, referring to Morales.
Notably, Morales remains the head of the country’s largest and most organized political party, Movement to Socialism, or MAS, giving him an important platform to potentially pressure Arce’s government, said Marcelo Silva, a political scientist at the San Andres Main University in La Paz.
“Luis Arce is trying to mark a sharp separation between his administration and his political party,” he added. “But it’s impossible to separate the actions of the leader of the ruling party from the actions of the head of government.”
Morales also remains the leader of Bolivia’s powerful coca-growing labor unions, an intensely loyal and well-organized social movement that over the past two decades has rapidly mobilized tens of thousands of members to support its leader in times of crisis.
Few in Bolivia believe that Morales, one of the most successful Latin American politicians of his generation, and who is still adored by a large part of the country’s Indigenous majority, will stick to his stated plans of cultivating grassroots union leaders and farming trout.
When his legal time in office drew to a close, he argued that people had demanded that he continue to lead Bolivia, and he got allied judges to rule that constitutional term limits violated his human rights.
But his decision to run for a fourth term in office in October 2019 backfired. After the vote’s validity was called into question, Bolivians poured into the streets in protest, and security forces withdrew their support.
Morales had called his resignation a military coup and took to social media from his exile in Argentina to undermine the right-wing caretaker government that replaced him.
“The Bolivian right wing, financed by North American policies, tried to stop our process of change,” Morales, dressed in a traditional Andean poncho, told ecstatic supporters in the border town of Villazón on Monday, as they chanted “Evo! Evo! Evo!” and showered him with flowers.
“We have recovered the democracy without violence,” he said.
His return, though expected, is likely to complicate the governing task of Arce, Morales’ former finance minister, who won the presidency on the platform of democratic rejuvenation and moderate economic agenda. Arce received 55% of the vote last month, compared with 47% obtained by Morales last year, signaling a desire by many Bolivians to embrace his party’s project but also move beyond the polarization that characterized recent years.
Around 40 people died in the social unrest that followed Morales’ bid for a fourth term. The caretaker government that replaced him did little to heal the divisions, jailing dozens of Morales’ officials and supporters and replacing Indigenous symbols and state ceremonies with a conservative Catholic tone.
The political tensions have been exacerbated by the pandemic and the ensuing economic crisis. Bolivia has seen one of the highest coronavirus mortality rates in the world, and its economy is expected to shrink 8% this year, pushing tens of thousands back into poverty.
Morales’ return now risks undermining Arce’s efforts to bring the nation together to overcome the crisis, some analysts said.
“What citizens want now is to work, they want normalcy,” said Silva, the political scientist. “They don’t want more political turmoil.”