Oil leaps, stocks slide as Russia moves on Ukraine
Oil jumped to a seven-year high, safe-havens rallied and U.S. stock futures dived on Tuesday as Europe’s eastern flank stood on the brink of war after Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered troops into breakaway regions of eastern Ukraine.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose 4% to $97.35, their highest since September 2014. S&P 500 futures ESc1 fell 2% and Nasdaq futures NQc1 fell 2.7%.
European equities dropped .STOXX 1.3% overnight to a four-month low, while the Russian rouble tanked and Russia’s MOEX equity index .IMOEX fell 10.5%.
U.S. markets were closed for a holiday on Monday. Australia’s ASX 200 .AXJO fell 1.3% in early trade.
Putin on Monday recognised two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine as independent and ordered the Russian army to launch what Moscow called a peacekeeping operation into the area, upping the ante in a crisis that could unleash a major war.
“In these circumstances, risk metrics are the driving force,” said NAB head of foreign exchange strategy, Ray Attrill.
In currency trade, the safe-haven yen rose 0.2% in Asia to a nearly three-week high of 114.50 per dollar. The euro EUR=EBS fell 0.1% to a one-week low of $1.1296 and the Russian rouble RUB= touched a one-month low of 80.289 per dollar.
It was not immediately clear whether the Russian military action was the start of an invasion of Ukraine that the United States and its allies have warned about for weeks. There was no word on the size of the force Putin was dispatching, when they would cross the border and exactly what their mission would be.
U.S. President Joe Biden signed an executive order to prohibit trade and investment between U.S. individuals and the two breakaway regions of eastern Ukraine, the White House said.
Britain vowed to impose sanctions on Russia, which it warned could invade Ukraine imminently.
Nerves drove U.S. Treasury yields lower, with benchmark 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR down 5.5 basis points (bp) to 1.8715%. Bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes also eased and the chance of a 50 bp hike next month fell below 1-in-5. FEDWATCH