Wall Street rebounds as focus shifts to White House race
Wall Street’s major indexes gained ground on Monday after suffering their worst week since March, as investors geared up for an event-packed week centered around the U.S. presidential election.
Market participants expect short-term trading turmoil and major long-term policy shifts related to taxes, government spending, trade and regulation depending on whether President Donald Trump or his Democratic challenger Joe Biden wins the White House race.
Biden is ahead in national opinion polls, but races are tight in battleground states that could tip the election to Trump. Analysts said the outcome most likely to shake equity markets in the near term would be no immediate winner at all on Tuesday night.
“Traders are trying to position themselves to the idea that just having a result will be good for the market,” said Rick Meckler, a partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.
Investors betting on a Biden administration, which is expected to deliver a massive fiscal stimulus and promote green energy, have fueled a rally in solar stocks, industrials and small-cap names in recent weeks.
On the other hand, JP Morgan has listed Bank of America BAC.N, Wells Fargo WFC.N and Citigroup C.N in its “Trump basket” of stocks. The S&P banks index .SPXBK added 1.7%.
“No matter what happens tomorrow, it will be the impetus to get the stimulus done in coming weeks after the election is decided,” said Thomas Hayes, managing member at Great Hill Capital LLC in New York.
Energy .SPNY, materials .SPLRCM and industrials .SPLRCI enjoyed the sharpest percentage gains among major S&P sectors.
Value stocks, which tend to outperform growth coming out of a recession, also got a lift. The Russell 1000 value .RLV index rose about 2%, while the Russell 1000 growth .RLG index added about 0.5%.
The S&P 500 ended a turbulent week at near six-week lows on Friday after quarterly reports from technology mega-caps failed to impress and on surging coronavirus cases in the United States and Europe.
The CBOE volatility index .VIX, known as Wall Street’s fear gauge, inched lower on Monday after ratcheting up to near four-month highs last week.
Focus this week will also be on the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting, the monthly jobs report and earnings from about a quarter of the S&P 500 companies. At 12:29 p.m. ET the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 454.01 points, or 1.71% to 26,955.61, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 44.00 points, or 1.35% to 3,313.96 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC gained 48.06 points, or 0.44% to 10,959.65.
Clorox Co CLX.N gained 5% after reporting its strongest quarterly sales growth in more than two decades and raising its full-year revenue forecast.